REBNY Report: Manhattan Retail Asking Rents Decline in 11 of 17 Major Corridors in Fall 2019

Retail Leasing Market Continues to Adjust as Overall Market Outlook Remains Strong

 

The Real Estate Board of New York’s fall 2019 Manhattan Retail Report found that average asking rents per square foot (psf) fell in many of the borough’s retail corridors in a continuation of a multi-year market correction. Out of the 17 major corridors analyzed by REBNY, 11 experienced year-over-year decreases in asking rent psf.

Manhattan’s retail market continues to adjust to changing market trends. High asking rents continue to drop, resulting in an uptick in year-over-year leasing activity.

REBNY’s Manhattan Retail Report Advisory Group advised that retailers are becoming increasingly innovative in their utilization of brick-and-mortar spaces. As traditional storefront retail leases dip, retailers are emphasizing unique, in-person experiences such as pop-ups and promotional spaces to complement online and marketing efforts.

The report also found that retailers are creating daytime co-working spaces and bookstore cafés to create modern storefronts to satisfy new consumer demand.

“Our report found that declining rents present opportunities for a growing number of pop-up and experiential storefronts. Prospective long-term tenants remain selective, yet activity continues to be strong in today’s market,” said James Whelan, REBNY President.

The retail market outlook remains positive with new operators entering the market with heightened interest in retail spaces. New experiential concepts will continue to buoy the market moving forward.

ADDITIONAL HIGHLIGHTS FROM REBNY’S FALL 2019 MANHATTAN RETAIL REPORT

-       In SoHo on Broadway (between Houston and Broome Streets), average asking rents declined 12% year-over-year to $491 psf. The area is witnessing increased pop-up activity and digitally native brands experimenting with retail space as rents adjust from the post-recession period, when rents nearly doubled to historic peaks. Complications in the area stem from restrictive zoning that limits food/beverage uses in the corridor as well as its composition of loft buildings with large retail spaces that are difficult to subdivide.

-       Asking rents on Columbus Avenue between 66th and 79th Streets remained flat year-over-year at $298 psf. Columbus Avenue is a self-contained, tight market with low availability and it is viewed as a destination for branded retailers and smaller storefronts alike due to high residential foot traffic.

-       In Lower Fifth Avenue between 42nd and 49th Streets, asking rents declined 9% year-over-year to $852 psf. REBNY attributes this drop to an increased amount of available spaces, with high-end apparel leaving the corridor in favor of emerging downtown strips. Upper Fifth Avenue between 49th and 59th Streets also experienced a 5% year-over-year decline to $2,838 psf. Asking rents are expected to continue to decrease.

-       On West 34th Street between Fifth and Seventh Avenue, average asking rents declined 8% year-over-year to $528 psf. By contrast, asking rents in Times Square on Broadway and Seventh Avenue (between 42nd and 47th Streets) increased 2% year-over-year to $1,889. Herald Square represents a more challenging retail environment than Times Square, though, despite recent closings, the outlook in Herald Square remains positive with new recent leases.

-       On East 86th Street between Lexington and 2nd Avenues, average asking rents declined 11% to $327 psf due to a lack of available prime retail space. Asking rents had recently inflated artificially due to prominent leases from Old Navy and JP Morgan Chase, with the market now correcting itself.

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